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What If Psychohistory Was Real?
On learning from big history
In Isaac Aasimov’s Foundation series, there’s a field of study called psychohistory.
A mathematician uses history to predict the future.
Psychohistorians want a stable empire, but civilization collapses, so they use the predictions gleaned from psychohistory to guide humanity.
We have something that sounds even more like sci-fi: cliodynamics.
Peter Turchin, its greatest promoter, did get a loud prediction wrong in 2020. But that doesn’t mean this idea doesn’t have legs.
You could totally make a 4X strategy game out of this data!